The Democrats seem to be taking this whole special election in NY as a huge victory for them. They’re claiming that this is a referrendum on the Republican budget plan, specifically the proposed Medicare solution from which many Republicans are trying to distance themselves.
When you look at the results of the election however, this election is clearly not a mandate and is politics as usual. All you need to do is look at the percentages. Kathy Hochul received only 47% of the vote over Jane Corwin’s 43%. Where did the other 9% of the vote go? It went to a third-party Tea Party candidate.
My reasoning should seem clear at this point, but in case it hasn’t I won’t leave it at that. My guess, and I think it’s a well reasoned one, is that had there not been a Tea Party candidate, those voters would never have given their votes to Hochul. Why? Because they’re Tea Partiers which is nearly everything antitethetical to the Democrat party.
Now I looked into Jack Davis, a former Democrat turned Tea Partier. On his webpage he does say that he disagrees with the proposed Medicare overhaul, but that doesn’t mean he’s a true-blue bleeding heart. He’s more of the Ron Paul type: a fierce fiscal conservative who believes that Washington spending is out of control. Had those who voted for Jack Davis not had Jack Davis as an option, they would have either abstained or given their votes to the next best conservative candidate, Jane Corwin.
So when you put this into its proper context, 52% of the voters in NY’s 26th District voted for a conservative candidate. That hardly seems like a referrendum to me. Now it might be that all 52% of them don’t like the Medicare idea, but that is besides the point. The Democrats seem to think that voting Republican means you implicitly support the Medicare voucher plan. According to a Gallup poll that came out about a month ago, nearly 80% of the people polled said that they think the Medicare plan is a bad idea.
Looking foreward, I doubt that Hochul will serve more than one term in the House. The 26th District Republicans will likely rally a lot harder and do what they can to stomp out 3rd party candidates next time around. Even without that sort of political organization, the idiots who threw their votes away to a 3rd party candidate and now have to deal with the fact that they’re represented by a Democrat will likely not support a 3rd party candidate again. Would you if you knew your vote could result in you being represented by a Liberal?
Besides, 47% of the vote is not an overwhelming majority, seeing as how she only beat her oponent by 4% of the vote, an oponent who had to battle against a Tea Party candidate who likely sucked away many much-needed votes. If the Republican budget proposal was as unpopular as the Democrats are claiming, wouldn’t Hochul have won by a far more commanding margin than 4%?
And I know this flies in the face of what they’re saying, but if this can be counted as some sort of referrendum on a specific issue, then it’s funny to know that still only half of the voters supposedly rejected the Republican budget proposal. What about the other half? Oh right, the Democrat idea of democracy is one side wins and imposes its ideology on the other. “Compromise,” to them is just another dirty “C” word.