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Five Republican Primaries Could End GOP Race

There aren’t a lot of people who give Ron Paul or Newt Gingrich a real chance of winning the GOP nomination. There are a lot of rumblings about Ron Paul and it is true that his campaign events are drawing in the crowds, but they usually do. The trouble is, those crowds don’t seem to translate into votes at the voting booth. The five Republican primaries today could be a test to see if the GOP race is really done, or if there could be more excitement down the road. No one I know seriously believes anyone but Mitt Romney will be the GOP nominee.

The GOP primaries today are in Rhode Island, Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and New York. Jamie Dupree has a good breakdown of the contests and how the delegates will be awarded and a little insight about the race.

While Mitt Romney has been deemed the Republican frontrunner in the wake of Rick Santorum’s decision to drop out of the GOP race for the White House, Tuesday is the first chance for Romney to prove that in five different primaries.

In other words, if Romney sweeps Pennsylvania, New York, Delaware, Connecticut and Rhode Island – along with most of the delegates – that’s what he is supposed to do.

But, if Romney stumbles, with Ron Paul and/or Newt Gingrich holding his vote totals and delegate numbers down, then there will be Rumblings of Trouble on the GOP side.

GOPIt will be interesting to see how this shapes up. As I mentioned in the first paragraph, there is still plenty of excitement about Ron Paul. Here in Oklahoma, it has been reported that Paul supporters have been able to win some of the district conventions. Is it possible that he will have enough delegates to win considerable support at the state convention? I can’t answer that, but I expect Ron Paul to be in the race until the end, until Mitt Romney formally has enough delegates locked up.

Romney could go a long way in that direction by sweeping all five primaries being held today. That could be especially true if he does so in grand fashion. If his vote totals are held in check by either Ron Paul or Newt Gingrich, then he may have to turn his attention from Barack Obama, back to his two remaining primary opponents. If not, then the aura of inevitability will grow brighter around the campaign of Mitt Romney. He could effectively end the GOP nomination race today.

UPDATE:  Fox News is reporting that Mitt Romney has easily won all five of the primaries being held today. This is good news for the Romney campaign and may very well snuff out any speculation about Newt Gingrich or Ron Paul still being in the running for the GOP nomination.

About LD Jackson

LD Jackson has written 1994 posts in this blog.

Founder and author of the political and news commentary blog Political Realities. I have always loved to write, but never have I felt my writing was more important than in this present day. If I have changed one mind or impressed one American about the direction our country is headed, then I will consider my endeavors a success. I take the tag line on this blog very seriously. Above all else, in search of the truth.

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  • http://westernhero.blogspot.com silverfiddle

    It’s already Romney’s. Don’t know why Newt is still sucking up free Secret Service protection. As recent news has shown, they have more important things to do…

    • http://www.ldjackson.net LD Jackson

      I think Newt is just plain too stubborn to drop. He doesn’t like to admit when he is wrong.

    • bill

      :-) …b

  • Pingback: Five Republican Primaries Could End GOP Race | Daily Easy News

  • http://conservativesonfire.wordpress.com Jim at Conservatives on Fire

    Yeah, I think it is going to be over taday, Larry. That is probably a good thing so that the focus can turn to Obama. A year ago I said there was mo way Obama could get reelected. I don’t say that any more. Our country has been divided. I will grudgingly vote for Romney. But if he wins and things don’t turn out like I think they should, this may be the last time I support one of the two major parties.

    • http://www.ldjackson.net LD Jackson

      We shall see, Jim. We shall see. I am not fond of a Romney presidency, but I still contend it is much better than the prospect of another four years of Barack Obama.

  • http://www.stevenbirnspeaks.wordpress.com steven birn

    Voting on Twitter and media web site polls doesn’t translate into actual votes. There are so many young Paul supporters who just don’t get that. Big crowds don’t translate into votes either, especially when the people going to campaign events don’t actually campaign.

    • http://www.ldjackson.net LD Jackson

      That is true, Steven. You know I like Ron Paul and voted for him, but I think his campaign overestimated how much the campaign events would translate into actual votes. It just didn’t happen.

  • http://americaswatchtower.com Steve Dennis

    Something interesting happened over the weekend: Minnesota officially named 24 of its 40 delegates and while after the caucus it was projected that Santorum would capture 17, Paul 10, and Romney 6 Ron Paul ended up with 20 of the first 24. And he expects this to be the case in other caucus states as well, perhaps he isn’t dead yet. With rumors that Newt will drop out this week it will be interesting to see how close Paul will finish in the remaining states. If Romney can’t win decisively I think it will prove to be a real problem for him in the general election.

    • http://www.ldjackson.net LD Jackson

      That will be interesting, Steve. I do know Ron Paul has done much better in the Oklahoma district conventions than was anticipated. Much to the chagrin of the Oklahoma GOP leadership. He may finish up with enough delegates to influence the platform at the national convention.

  • lou222

    This is where my last post, double posted and now it is gone. I was speaking of Dr. Paul, so maybe it was the gremlins again that removed it! I firmly believe that Dr. Paul was shut out of this primary, not only by the media, but from the Republican Party, as well. I have gone to a couple of his campaign stops and he had massive amounts of people at the rally’s, but it was not reported. I know alot of people don’t agree with his foreign policy, but if they agree with him being the only Constitutionalist, of the bunch, maybe that is something that could be worked with. There are alot more issues I have with Romney, but if he is the chosen one, I will vote for him. To throw away my vote and just stay home, if Dr. Paul isn’t the nominee, is a pretty stupid thing to do, as far as I am concerned. The only one it will hurt, is yourself once you realize that Obama will probably get in, for the “spite” you might hold. I just don’t think we have the option of just not voting because “our man” isn’t the one. I don’t want to ever have to think that MY vote is not important and would not matter if I vote or not. At that point, the USA I know is history.

    • http://www.ldjackson.net LD Jackson

      I am of the opinion that the GOP leadership never intended for Ron Paul to win enough delegates to matter. If the truth were told, I suspect they would have much rather he drop completely out of the race. They really feel he doesn’t belong in the GOP, due to his libertarian leanings.

      It’s a shame, really. He has a lot to offer and we could do a lot worse than listen to his advice.